As forecasts remain dry and warm, drought will continue to impact 2022 harvest results as well as influence planning decisions for 2023.
A warmer and drier than normal summer reduced yield potential after a delayed early planting season.
Percent of normal precipitation and departure from normal temperature data for June through August 2022 from High Plains Regional Climate Center
September precipitation was drier than normal, and temperatures were warmer than normal. These warm and dry conditions helped crops mature on time and ahead of any major frost issues, but did not help late-season grain fill. With crops already behind from early planting, this left an even greater strain on yield potential.
Percent of normal precipitation and departure from normal temperature data for June through August 2022 from High Plains Regional Climate Center
Over the course of the past month, drought has continued to build. The fall outlook does not appear to show any hope of alleviation. Without a wet winter and spring, drought will continue to remain an issue into 2023.
United States drought monitor maps for October, September, and May 2022 from US Drought Monitor
When it comes to pricing and economic outlook, corn is favored over soybeans going into 2023 with an expected yield of 190 (corn) over 60 (soybeans). This significant change raised anticipated return on corn by $30.50 and dropped return on soybeans by $9. Variable cost (VC) per acre and land costs are rising. While all fertilizer prices have been rising by 10% or more, UAN prices have increased by over 40% and ammonia increases surpassed 60%.
GFS and ECMWF generally agree on a warmer and drier fall period, but the GFS forecast shows a larger area with much drier and warmer conditions. This will help harvest finish up well ahead of normal but can lead to drier than standard grain weights and some lost yield at the elevator. Drought conditions will remain in place and expand as winter approaches.
GFS long-term forecasts
ECMWF long-term forecasts
Higher profit margins are expected for corn than soybeans this fall which will sway planning decisions for 2023. Additionally, the outlook continues to be dry and warm in the long-term forecasts. Drought will persist unless winter and spring predictions increase expected precipitation.
With a dry spring hanging over the corn belt, concerns of returned crop stress remain going into the second half of the season. Regional drought monitor maps give reason for this concern as drought lingers in across much of the central US.
In turf and ornamental applications, the effective use of spray applications is crucial for maintaining the health and aesthetics of landscapes. Among the various factors contributing to success, incorporating deposition aids is a critical element that can significantly elevate the outcomes.
Formulation understanding begins in the lab, where researchers study how liquids behave under specific conditions. This knowledge aids users in predicting real-world product performance. Exacto Chemist Chris Walter discusses surface tension in the Research to Real-World series, helping applicators grasp the importance of surfactant and wetting agent chemistry.
Salinity and sodicity can challenge turfgrass maintenance in arid regions. This blog post discusses causes, effects, and management strategies for irrigation water quality. Choose turfgrass cultivars, conduct irrigation water and soil testing, and apply leaching and gypsum to improve soil conditions.
Wielding his 35 years of experience, Mark Mahady provides insight on irrigation and water conservation, turf and soil moisture management, wetting agents, surfactants, and other related topics in this edition of Cutting-Edge Perspectives.
Revolutionize how you care for turf with effective solutions including wetting agents RPO™, Wishbone™, and the innovative AquiMax® Sprayable water management product. We’re excited to introduce these breakthroughs in turf management with approval for use in multiple states, including California.
With tightening EPA regulations and increased label restrictions on dicamba, Corteva’s Enlist One® and Enlist Duo® are seeing increased adoption. As more growers make the change, choosing the right adjuvants to use with Enlist One and Enlist Duo is key to ensuring optimum weed control.
Explore UW-Madison’s turf research studies from the Wisconsin Turfgrass Association Field Day. Dr. Soldat’s Soil Science Program showcased an athletic field management study comparing conventional & organic approaches. Dr. Koch’s Plant Pathology Program highlighted a leaf mulching study.
Turf needs water to survive. If not managed effectively, soil moisture can cause consistent problems such as water-repellancy that create dry patches, inconsistent turf appearance, and in severe cases, complete loss of turf. Turf wetting agents help move water into the soil, improve uniformity, and increase moisture retention.
Soil water management plays a big role in both agriculture and turf industries, but turf holds secrets to advancements in moisture management technology that haven’t reached agriculture yet. Agricultural wetting agents are here and ready to help farmers manage water and keep moisture in the soil.
This site uses cookies and other tracking technologies to assist with navigation, monitor site usage, and web traffic, assist with our marketing efforts, customize and improve our services and websites, as set out in our Privacy Notice.